Fifteenth Annual Conference on Economics and Security, 16-17th JUNE 2011


Hosted by: EPS(UK), University of Bristol and University of the West of England,.

Venue: Burwalls Hall, University of Bristol


Provisional Conference Programme






Session 1: 10.00-11.00


“Dynamics of Wars“ Ron Smith and Ali Tasiran,  Birkbeck and Middlesex Abstract Paper


“Military Spending Trends”. Sam Perlo Freeman, SIPRI Abstract


Coffee: 11.00-11.30


Session II: 11.30-13.00




“US defence industry's current changes - A new strategy?” Aude-Emmanuelle Fleurant, French Defence Academy Strategic Research Institute (IRSEM) Abstract


The arms industry in the global downturn: the integrative and protective role of finance”. Luc Mampaey, GRIP, Belgium Abstract


“Human Capital Effects of Spanish Defence Expenditure”. Néstor Duch, Javier García, Elisa Trujillo, University of Barcelona Abstract




“The Role of Government Spending Components: a re-Examination of the Effects of Military Spending on Private Consumption”. Pieroni Luca, Lorusso Marco, University of Perugia Abstract


“Nonlinear analysis of the defense-growth nexus: the case of France”.  Julien Malizard. Abstract


“Exploring the Relationship between Defence and Non-Defence Expenditures and GDP Growth in the Case of the US: A Semiparametric Approach”. Christos Kollias Suzanna-Maria Paleologou, University of Thessaly and  Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Abstract


Lunch 13.00-14.00


Session III: 14.00 -15.30




“Economic Determinants of Third-Party Intervention in Civil War”. Vincenzo Bove, University of Essex, Petros G. Sekeris, University of Namury Abstract


“Movers or Stayers? Understanding drivers of IDP camp decongestion during post-conflict recovery”. Carlos Bozzoli, Tilman Brück,  Tony Muhumuza, DIW Berlin, and Humboldt University Berlin. Abstract Paper


“A Competing Risk Model for Health and Food Insecurity in the West Bank”. Elisa Cavatorta and Luca Pieroni, Birkbeck and Perugia Abstract




“Determinants of Military Spending”. Paul Dunne, UWE and UCT, Sam Perlo-Freeman, SIPRI and Ron Smith, Birkbeck, Abstract


“Military expenditure in Authoritarian Regimes”. Vincenzo Bove, University of Essex, Jennifer Brauner, Birkbeck College, London Abstract


“Political Economy of Pork Spending: A Case from US Defense Appropriation Bill”. Hamid E. Ali, The American University in Cairo, Abstract


Tea: 15.30-16.00


Session IV 16.00 -18.00




“Determinants of defence spending and its effect on economic development in southern Africa: a critical review of the empirical literature”. Zachary Tambudzai, UKZN, RSA Abstract


“Military Spending and Strategic Interactions: Greece-Turkey-Cyprus”. Eftychia Nikolaidou, CITY Thessaloniki Abstract


“The Value of Military Intelligence in an Arms Race Context”. Eyal Pecht and Asher Tishler, Tel Aviv University, Israel Abstract Paper




“US Military Casualties in the Iraq War and Public Opinion -With CBS-NYT, ABC-WP and Fox News Polls”. Uih Ran Lee, Royal Holloway, University of London Abstract


“Fatality sensitivity in coalition countries: A study of British, Polish and Australian public opinion on the Iraq war”. Piotr Lis, University of Bristol and Royal Holloway Abstract


“On the Probability of Military Rule, Africa 1970-2007” Raul Caruso, Catholic University of Milan, Jacopo Costa University of Florence Roberto Ricciuti, University of Verona and CESifo  Abstract



Dinner 19.00-20.00





Session V:  09.30-11.00


“How to demonstrate the importance of descriptive statistics through experience”. Göran Lindgren, University of Gävle Abstract


 The lessons of history – a mathematical social science approach and a Libyan case study”. Gordon Burt, Conflict Research Society, UK Abstract


“Peace Initiatives through Industry Strategic Alliances and ‘Global Ancillarisation’”. Professor Suman K. Mukerjee, Abstract Paper


“On the Value of Differentiated Military Intelligence”. Eyal Pecht and Asher Tishler, Tel Aviv University, Israel Abstract Paper


Coffee: 11.00-11.30


Session VI 11.30-13.00


“Military Draft and Economic Growth in Turkey”. Sennur Sezgin, Pamukkale; Naci Tolga Saruc, Sakarya University; Turkey Selami Sezgin, Pamukkale University , Turkey Abstract


Defense Spending and Aggregate Output –Evidence from China 1952-2009”. Ling Darong and Jiang Yiwen, Military Economics Academy, Wuhan, P.R. China. Abstract


“Military Expenditures, Economic Growth and Spatial Spillovers: A Global Perspective”. Halil KESKIN, Julide YILDIRIM and Nadir OCAL; Gazi University, Ankara –Turkey; Middle East Technical University Abstract


“Is military burden a stimulus for economic growth? The case of Italy”. d’Agostino G., Di Stefano, L., Pieroni L., University of Rome III and University of Perugia Abstract


Lunch 13.00-14.00


Session VII 14.00-15.30


“A Microeconomic Approach to the Influence of Terrorism on Foreign Direct Investment”. Ulrich Hendel, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität   Abstract Paper


“Does Stock Market Reaction to Terrorist attacks Vary? Comparative Evidence from a Large and Small Capitalization Market”. Christos Kollias, Efthalia Manou Stephanos Papadamou Apostolos Stagiannis , University of Thessaly, Abstract


“Why offsets requirements should not be mandated?” Stefan Markowski and Peter Hall, University of New South Wales. Abstract Paper


“High-tech equipment: Financial and operational impacts”, Sophie Lefeez, Paris-La Sorbonne University Abstract Paper


Tea: 15.30-16.00


Session VIII 16.00-17.15


“Mission Afghanistan: Who Bears the Heaviest Burden?”  R.J.M. (Robert) Beeres M.P. (Marion) Bogers Netherlands Defence Academy Abstract


“The fight against piracy, a natural experiment for managing international public good”. Renaud Bellais, EADS / Institut d'Études Politiques de Paris, Abstract


“Gov-aargh-nance – “even criminals need law and order”.  Olaf J. de Groot, Matthew D. Rablen and Anja Shortland, DIW Berlin Abstract



17.15 End of Sessions


19.00 Conference Dinner at Burwalls