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Professor J Paul Dunne



Paul Dunne is Professor of Economics at the School of Economics at the University of Cape Town, a research associate of the Southern Africa Labour and Development Research Unit (SALDRU), Emeritus Professor of Economics at the University of the West of England Bristol

He is also editor, with Jurgen Brauer of the Economics of Peace and Security Journal and chair of Economists for Peace and Security (UK) and a Fellow of a Economists for Peace and Security (USA)


See RepEc/IDEAS page here
Email: John.Dunne[no]@[spam]uct.ac.za (Please remove [no] and [spam] before emailing)


Contents:

* Current Research Interests
* Recent Publications
* Teaching Interests and Materials
* Other Information
* Datasets
* Journals
* EPS
* Useful Links


Current Research Interests

Main area of research is the economics of peace and security although involved in research in other areas of areas of applied economics and econometrics including: industrial economics; marxist economics; macroeconometric modelling; analysis of large data sets; macroeconomic policy analysis; and structural change.

STOP PRESS:

* Peace Economics: A Macroeconomic Primer for Violence-Afflicted States. 2012, US Institute of Peace, Washington. With Jurgen Brauer. ISBN: 978-1-60127-138-9 Available here

Work in Progress:
* Firm Dynamics Growth and Survival in South Africa. Trade Industry Policy Secretariat (TIPS) Conference, June 2014 With Rethabile Masenyetse. Mimeo, UCT.
* Growth, Productivity and Spillovers in SADC. CSAE conference March 2014. With Nicholas Masiyandima. Mimeo UCT here
* Conflict, Economic Growth and Spatial Spillover Effects in Africa. With Nan Tian. Mimeo, UCT
* Firm Growth and Size in South Africa. CSAE conference March 2014 With Rethabile Masenyetse. Mimeo, UCT. here
* "Military Spending, Endogeneity and Economic Growth". With Giorgio d'Agostino and Luca Pieroni. Earlier version presented to Peace Science Conference, Berlin, 2012. Available as MPRA Paper No. 45640: here . Revised version CSAE conference March 2014. here
* "Government Spending, Corruption and Economic Growth". With Giorgio d'Agostino and Luca Pieroni. SALDRU Working Paper No. 74, School of Economics, University of Cape Town. Available at: here
* "Order at Sea and Landlocked Countries in Africa: The Economic Benefits". Invited presentation to conference in Dar Es Salaam on Maritime Security, September 2013. Mimeo, UCT. Forthcoming as chapter in edited collection.
* "Corruption, Government Spending and Growth in Sub Saharan Africa". With Giorgio d'Agostino and Luca Pieroni. Mimeo, UCT.
* "Military Spending and Economic Growth in Africa". With Nan Tian, 2013. CSAE conference, University of Oxford. Mimeo, UCT.
* "Military Spending and the Falling Rate of Profit in the US" AHE Conference, Paris 2012. With Giorgio d'Agostino and Luca Pieroni. Mimeo, UCT.

Projects:
* "The Challenge of Armed Conflict", Copenhagen Consensus.
* "The Costs of War/Terror to Industry" One Earth Future Foundation/ Economists for Peace and Security. With Jurgen Brauer.
* "The Macroeconomics of Military Spending", US Institute for Peace. With Jurgen Brauer
* Economic Impact of Military R&D. April 2008. Flemish Peace Institute With Derek Braddon.
* ESRC funded project on Arms Production and Trade in the Post Cold War Era with Maria Garcia Alonso, Paul Levine and Ron Smith. Details here.
* Leverhulme Trust funded project on Defence Industrial Restructuring, Conversion and Economic Growth in South Africa with Peter Batchelor. Details here.
* Trade and Poverty Project with SALDRU, University of Cape Town. Details here.

Other:
* Report published by the Flemish Peace Institute Economic Impact of Military R&D. April 2008. With Derek Braddon. Available here
* Report published by BASIC on The Real Cost Behind Trident Replacement and the Carriers here. With Sam Perlo-Freeman and Paul Ingram
* Royal Economic Society Conference 2005 Session : The Economics of Conflict and War
* Papers with Sam Perlo-Freeman prepared for Oxfam for their Control Arms campaign, 2003:
The Impact of a Responsible Arms Control Policy on the UK Economy
Bigger than the Sum of its Parts: Components and the Impact of a Responsible Arms Control Policy on the UK Economy
* Paper on The Changing Economics of Security presented to the AHE Conference at UWE, July 2007 here
* Paper with Sam Perlo-Freeman on The Opportunity Cost of Trident Replacement and the Aircraft Carriers Presented for CND to group of interested MPs, 26th Feb 2007 is here
* Paper with Jurgen Brauer on The Economics of Arms Trade Offsets presented to the International Seminar on Defence, 13-15th November, 2006 New Delhi. here
* Paper on Sector Futures: Defence Industry prepared with Cambridge Econometrics for European Monitoring Centre on Change here


Recent Publications

Recent Edited Books:

  • Arms Trade and Economic Development: Theory Policy and Cases in Arms trade Offsets, Routledge, 2004. Edited with Jurgen Brauer. 0-415-33106-4
  • Arming the South: The Economics of Military Expenditures, Arms Production and Trade in Developing Countries. Palgrave, April 2002. Edited with Jurgen Brauer. 0-333-75440-9

  • Recent Articles Include:

  • "Military Expenditure, Economic Growth and Structural Stability: A Case Study of South Africa", with Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Renee van Eyden. Available online and forthcoming, 2014 in Defence and Peace Economics. Draft available as Working Papers 201344, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  • "Military Expenditure, Economic Growth and Heterogeneity". Available online and forthcoming 2014 in Defence and Peace Economics. With Nan Tian. Draft available as SALDRU Working Paper No. 95 available at: here
  • "The Demand for Military Spending in Egypt". Defence and Peace Economics. Vol. 25, no. 3, 2014, pp231-245. With Yasmine M Abdelfattah, Aamer S. Abu Qarn, and Shadwa Zaher. Earlier draft as Discussion Paper: here
  • "Military Spending and Growth: A Survey". Economics of Peace and Security Journal, Volume 8, No. 1, 2013.With Nan Tian. here
  • "Military Spending and Growth in the EU15". Defence and Peace Economics. Vol. 23, no. 2, 2012, pp537-548. With Eftychia Nikolaidou. Discussion Paper version at: here
  • "Military Spending, Growth, Development and Conflict". Defence and Peace Economics. Vol. 23, no. 2, 2012, pp549-557. Discussion Paper version at: here
  • "Corruption, Military Spending and Growth". Defence and Peace Economics. Vol. 23, no. 2, 2012, pp591-604. With Giorgio Agostini and Luca Pieroni. Discussion Paper version at: here
  • "Terrorism, War and Global Air Traffic Demand", Economics of Peace and Security Journal, Volume 7, No. 1, January, 2012. ISSN 1749-852X. With Jurgen Brauer. here
  • "The Changing Military Industrial Complex". 2011 Wissenschraft & Frieden (German Peace Research Journal). With Elisabeth Skons. Discussion Paper version in English here
  • "Optimal military Spending in the US: A Time Series Analysis". With Giorgio Agostini and Luca Pieroni. Economic Modelling. Vol. 28, 2011, pp 1068-1077 Discussion Paper version here
  • "Macroeconomics and Violence",2011 in Spanish in Revista, Vol. 13 No. 1, 2011, pp 1-39. With Jurgen Brauer. Discussion Paper version here
  • Military Expenditure and Granger Causality: A Critical Review. Defence and Peace Economics 20th Anniversary Issue. Vol. 21, no. 5-6, 2010, Oct-Dec, pp 427-441.With Ron Smith. UWE Discussion Paper version here
  • "The Demand for Military Spending: Hostility versus Capability". Defence and Peace Economics, Vol. 19, no. 2, 2008, pp293-302. With Sam Perlo-Freeman and Ron Smith. UWE Discussion Paper version here
  • "Economics, Conflict and War", Real-World Economics Review. Issue no. 46, 20 May 2008, pp 147-157. With Fanny Coulomb. Available here
  • "The Demand for Food in South Africa". South African Journal of Economics, 2008. With Bev Edkins. Version available here
  • "Trade and Poverty in South Africa: Exploring the Trade-Labour Linkages", Journal of Studies in Economics and Econometrics (SEE), 2007, 31(2). With Lawrence Edwards. ISSN: 0379-6205. A version can be sourced from SALDRU here
  • "Determining the Defence Industrial Base." Defence and Peace Economics, 2007, Vol. 18, Issue 3, pp199-221. ISSN 1024 2694. With Maria Garcia-Alonso, Paul Levine and Ron Smith.
  • "Aggressive Militarism or Security: The opportunity cost of Trident replacement and the aircraft carrier programme" Peace, Conflict & Development, 10, March 2007. ISSN 1749-852X. See journal . With Sam Perlo-Freeman.
  • "Transformation or Stagnation? The South African Defence Industry in the Early 21st Century". Defence Studies , 2006, Vol. 6 No. 3. With Richard Haines. ISSN 1470-2436.
  • "After the Slaughter: Reconstructing Mozambique and Rwanda" Economics of Peace and Security Journal, Vol. 1 No. 2, June 2006. ISSN 1749-852X. See EPSJ
  • "The Making of Arms in South Africa", Economics of Peace and Security Journal, Vol. 1, No. 1, January, 2006. ISSN 1749-852X. See EPSJ
  • "Managing Asymmetric Conflict" Oxford Economic Papers, 2006, Vol. 58, pp183-208, ISSN 0030-7653. With Maria Garcia-Alonso, Paul Levine and Ron Smith.
  • "Arms Trade Offsets and Development", Africanus, Vol. 35, No. 1, 2005, pp. 14-24. With Jurgen Brauer.
  • "Models of Military Expenditure and Growth: A Critical Review", Defence and Peace Economics, Vol. 16, No. 6, pp. 449 - 461, 2005. With Ron Smith and Dirk Willenbockel.
  • "Military Expenditure and Debt in Small Industrialised Economies: A Panel Analysis". Defence and Peace Economics , Vol. 15, No. 2, 2004, pp. 125-132. With Aylin Soydan and Sam Perlo-Freeman.
  • "Military Expenditure and Debt in South America". Defence and Peace Economics, Vol. 15, No. 2, 2004, pp. 173-187. With Aylin Soydan and Sam Perlo-Freeman.
  • "The Demand for Military Spending in Developing Countries: A Dynamic Panel Analysis". Defence and Peace Economics, Vol 14, No. 6, 2003, pp. 461-474. With Sam Perlo Freeman
  • "The Demand for Military Spending in the Peripheral Economies of Europe". Defence and Peace Economics, Vol 14, No. 6, 2003, pp. 447-460. With Eftychia Nikolaidou and Nikolaos Mylonidis.
  • "The Demand for Military Spending in Developing Countries". International Review of Applied Economics , Vol. 16, no. 4, 2003. With Sam Perlo-Freeman.
  • "Real Exchange Rate Fluctuations in East Asia: Impulse Response Analysis" Asian Economic Journal, Vol. 17, No. 2, 2003, pp 185-203. With Ping Wang.
  • "Military Spending and Economic Growth in Small Industrialised Economies: A Panel Analysis". South African Journal of Economics. June 2002. With Eftychia Nikolaidou and Ron Smith.
  • “The Demand for Military Spending in South Africa”.Journal of Peace Research. Vol. 39, No. 3, 2002, pp. 315-330. With Peter Batchelor and Guy Lamb.
  • "Military Spending and Economic Growth: A Demand and Supply Model for Greece 1960-96"Defence and Peace Economics, Vol. 12, No. 1, Jan 2001. With Efytchia Nikolaidou.
  • Recent Chapters include:

  • "Military Keynesianism" 2013 in "Cooperation for a Peaceful & Sustainable World - Part 2" edited by Manas Chatterji and Chen Bo, Emerald: Bingley, UK. Discussion Paper version at: here
  • "Armed Conflicts". Chapter 1 in Bjorn Lomborg (ed) (2013) "Global Problems, Smart Solutions: Costs and Benefits", Cambridge University Press for Copenhagen Consensus. here
  • "Assessing the effects of military expenditures on economic growth", Chapter 17 in Stegios Skaperdas and Michelle Garfinkel (eds) (2012)'Oxford Handbook of the Economics of Peace and Conflict', Oxford University Press. SBN10: 0195392779. With Giorgio d'Agostino and Luca Pieroni. Discussion Paper version at: here
  • "Macroeconomics and Violence", Chapter 14 in Derek Braddon and Keith Hartley (eds) (2011) Handbook on the Economics of Conflict. Cheltenham, UK: Elgar. Pp 311-337. ISBN 978-1-84844-649-6. With Jurgen Brauer. Discussion Paper version at: here "Arms Trade Offsets: What Do We Know?" Chapter 13 in Christopher J. Coyne and Rachel L. Mathers (eds) (2011) Handbook on the Political Economy of War. Cheltenham, UK Edward Elgar, pp243-265. ISBN 978-1-84844-248-1. With Jurgen Brauer. Discussion Paper version at: here
  • Military Industrial Complex". Chapter in Tan, Andrew (ed) (2010) The Global Arms Trade. Europa / Routledge (London), pp 281-292. With Elisabeth Skons. Version available here
  • "Military Spending and Development". Chapter in Tan, Andrew (ed) (2010) The Global Arms Trade. Europa / Routledge (London) pp 293305-292. With Mehmet Uye. Version available here
  • "Developments in the Global Arms Industry from the End of the Cold War to the mid-2000s" Chapter 2 in Bitzinger, R (ed) (2009) The Modern Defense Industry: Political, Economic and Technological Issues, Praeger Publishers, Westport.
  • "Peace, War and International Security: Economic Theories", Chapter 2 in Jacques Fontanel and Manas Chatterji (eds) (2008) War Peace and Security. Emerald: Bingley, pp13-36. With Fanny Coulomb. ISBN 978-0-4445-3244-2. Version available here
  • "Arms Production, Economics of" in Lester Kurtz (ed) Encyclopaedia of Violence, Peace and Conflict, 2nd edition. 2007, Elsevier. With Elisabeth Skons
  • "The Challenge of Reducing Arms Proliferation". Chapter 12 in Bjorn Lomborg (ed)(2007) Solutions to the World's Biggest Problems, Cambridge University Press. ISBN 0-521-71597-3
  • "The Econometrics of Arms Races", in Hartley, K and T Sandler (eds)(2007) Handbook of Defence Economics Vol 2. Elsevier. With Ron Smith. ISBN: 0-444-51910-6
  • "The Evolution of the International Arms Industries", in Wolfram Elsner(ed)(2007) Arms, War, and Terrorism in the Global Economy Today -Economic Analyses and Civilian Alternatives. ISBN 3-8258-0045-8. With Maria Garcia-Alonso, Paul Levine and Ron Smith
  • "Arms Production" Chapter 9 in Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI) Yearbook, 2006. With Eamon Surry.
  • "Introduction", Chapter 1 in Jurgen Brauer and Paul Dunne (eds) Arms Trade and Economic Development: Theory Policy and Cases in Arms Trade Offsets, Routledge, September 2004. With Jurgen Brauer. ISBN: 0-415-33106-4
  • "Defence Industrial Participation: The Experience of South Africa", Chapter 19 in Jurgen Brauer and Paul Dunne (eds) Arms Trade and Economic Development: Theory Policy and Cases in Arms trade Offsets, Routledge, September 2004. With Guy Lamb ISBN: 0-415-33106-4
  • "Armed Conflicts, Decent Work and Other Socio-economic Issues in Africa", Chapter 2 in Eugenia Date-Bah (2003) Jobs After War, International Labour Office (ILO), Geneva.
  • "Arms Race Models and Econometric Applications". Chapter 11 in Paul Levine and Ron Smith (eds) (2003) "The Arms Trade, Security and Conflict", Routledge, pp 178-87. With Eftychia Nikolaidou and Ron Smith. ISBN 0415306485
  • "The Making of Arms in South Africa", Economists Allied for Arms Reduction (ECAAR) Review, Volume1, January 2003.
  • "Introduction: Military Spending, Production and Development". Chapter 1 in Jurgen Brauer and J Paul Dunne (eds) (2002) " Arming the South The Economics of Military Expenditures, Arms Production and Trade in Developing Countries". Palgrave. With Jurgen Brauer. ISBN: 0-333-75440-9
  • "South Africa: An Econometric Analysis of Military Spending and Economic Growth". Chapter 9 in Jurgen Brauer and J Paul Dunne (eds) (2002) "Arming the South: The Economics of Military Expenditures, Arms Production and Trade in Developing Countries". Palgrave. With Alvin Birdi. ISBN: 0-333-75440-9
  • "Procurement in the Post Cold War World: A Case Study of the UK", Chapter in Claude Serfati (ed) (2002)"The Future of European Arms Production". Cost A10 Action, European Community Office for Official Publication, Brussels. With Gordon Macdonald.

    * See the links to project webpages above for downloadable versions of related papers.


    Teaching Interests and Materials

    Active:
    * UCT: Economics of Conflict, War and Peace

    Previous courses
    * Chulalongkorn: Economics of Conflict, War, and Peace
    * UWE: MSc Economics Programme: Empirical Analysis
    * UWE: MSc Economics Programme: Applied Econometrics
    * UWE: MSc Economics Programme: Dissertation
    * UWE: MSc Economics Programme: Econometrics
    * UWE: MSc Finance Programme: Quantitative Research Methods
    * UWE: MSc Economics Programme: Research Methods 2
    * BUE: Developments in Macroeconomics
    * BUE: Econometric Modelling a
    * BUE: Econometric Modelling b: Applied Econometrics
    * BUE: Projects
    * BUE: Research Methods and Resources
    * UWE: MA/MSc Economics Programme: Economic Theory and Applications
    * UWE: International Managerial Economics
    * UWE: MA/MSc Economics Programme: Defence and Peace Economics
    * UWE: MA/MSc Economics Programme: Maths & Stats Preparatory Course
    * NIEP Econometrics training programme home page
    * UWE: MSc IBE Econometric Theory and Methods, 2003-4
    * UWE: Empirical Political Analysis Sessions
    * UWE: Using Time Series Econometrics: training course
    * Rough Guide to Economics: Sessions run for African Initiatives NGO
    * Critical Political Economy

    Some other info that may be of interest:
    * Here is a reading list for a course on the Economics of Military Spending I ran at Leeds University.
    * Here is a reading list for a relatively novel course on Macroeconomics I ran at Leeds University. It considered different schools of thought in economics and the way they analysed economic problems.
    * Here is a brief introduction to Marxist Economics.


    Other Information

    *Here is a pdf copy of the text of my CAAT public lecture on The globalisation of arms production and trade: Implications for the UK economy November 9th 1999.
    *
    Here is a copy of the text of my Middlesex University inaugural lecture on The Economics of War and Peace
    *
    Here are some biographical details


    Datasets

    *Here is a copy of the dataset used in the Journal of Peace Research article (a  csv file).


    Links

    Journals I am involved with:

    * Economics of Peace and Security Journal: Online journal launched Jan 2006
    *
    Cambridge Journal of Economics.
    *
    Defence and Peace Economics
    *
    International Review of Applied Economics
    *Frontiers in Finance and Economics


    EPS: Economists for Peace and Security

    * US.
    * UK


    Plus some other useful links:

    *EPS (UK)
    *Defence Links
    *Bristol Campaign Against Arms Trade (CAAT)
    *Inomics
    *WebEc
    *EconPapers
    *Resources for Economists
    *Intute: Social Sciences Gateway
    *Everton Football Club

     

     

    J Paul Dunne
    Last updated by JPD: 2 Jan 2012